Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number of COVID-19 in Nigeria.

Okorie Charity Ebelechukwu; Yusuf Haruna; Bala Ma’aji Abdulhamid; Hina Aliyu Danladi

doi:10.52589/AJBMR-CXZFHMDZ

Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number of COVID-19 in Nigeria.

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African Journal of Biology and Medical Research

Vol. 7Issue 32024pp. 9–20Published 12 July 2024

DOI 10.52589/AJBMR-CXZFHMDZ

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Abstract:

Corona virus disease is seen as a dreaded disease all over the world. This prompted many researchers into carrying out research on COVID-19. The essence of these is to provide solution for eradication ofCOVID-19.In this research work, we considered the basic reproduction number which is a determinant to the spread and control of any infectious diseases. We used the next generation matrix as a method of finding the basic reproduction number. Data for the analysis were obtained from literatures, World meters and from NCDC. Maple 2023 software was used for the analysis. The results show thatR_0<1. This is an indication that COVID-19 is not spreading like wild fire as the case of other countries. This does not mean that Nigerians will relent and give room for re infection and spread of COVID-19 The information from this research work will enable the government, health care providers and general public in taking precautionary measures against COVID-19.

Keywords:COVID-19 Basic reproduction number Disease Estimation Analysis.

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