Assessing the Prevalence of Tuberculosis in Taraba State

Nwaokolo Martin Afam; Okorie Charity Ebelechukwu

doi:10.52589/AJMSS-GEGK0SGR

Assessing the Prevalence of Tuberculosis in Taraba State | AB Journals

Assessing the Prevalence of Tuberculosis in Taraba State

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African Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Studies

Vol. 6Issue 42023pp. 81–90Published 23 November 2023

DOI 10.52589/AJMSS-GEGK0SGR

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Abstract:

Tuberculosis is an old disease that poses a new threat and remains a public health issue in Nigeria, having been ranked as the second biggest cause of death from single infectious disease after HIV/AIDS. The world health organization initiated the stop TB programs and directly observed treatment short course centers to eliminate tuberculosis, yet tuberculosis in developing countries is still on the high side. Therefore, this work is primarily targeted at providing reliable and concrete information on the rate of occurrence and prevalent rate of TB in Taraba State. The aim of this research is to analyze the cases of TB in Taraba State. In order to carry out this research, data were collected from Specialist Hospital, Jalingo. The data collected were analyzed using the SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Science) software 16.0. Ordinary Least Square and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) were used in carrying out the analysis. The analysis with the least square method yields the linear trend equation as y = 551.917 – 14.582x + e, where y = a + bx + e. X= 2(t-2013.5). This trend indicates that there is a falling trend. For instance, using the Linear Trend to forecast for the future, we discovered that there will be a decrease in tuberculosis from 2023 with the value of 413.388, 2024=399.806, 2025=384.228.

Keywords:Tuberculosis Disease Significant Least Square Variance.

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