Estimation of Achievement Probabilities in Corruption Dependent Achievement Probability Models
Publication Date: 01/02/2019
Author(s): Oyeka Cyprian Anene, Nwankwo Chike H.
Volume/Issue: Volume 1 , Issue 1 (2019)
Abstract:
This paper proposes, develops and presents an achievement probability model in a population where achievement of some set objective is often dependent and affected by the level of corruption or corrupt practices in the population. It is assumed that in such a population there are three operatives or agencies that form a closed corruption nexus. Methods are provided for the estimation of achievement probabilities of all possible events obtainable in the proposed achievement model in the presence of corrupt practices. Test statistics are also provided for use in testing any desired hypotheses about various achievement probabilities. Some sample data are used to illustrate the proposed method. The results suggest that in some instances some gratification and negotiations between operatives in a corrupt population may be necessary for one to expect high achievement probability in set objective.
